Wednesday, September 18, 2019

#75: Making Sure We Win the Most Important Election Since Lincoln Beat Douglas

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Right after a debate is the perfect time to examine where we stand in staying together as resisters and together winnowing our field of candidates. We would want to keep tabs on this not least because it will be an election more consequential than any time since Abraham Lincoln beat slavery sympathizer Stephen Douglas in 1860.

The polls show that we are in excellent position with less than 14 months until the big day. Trump’s unfavorable rating has spiked even higher, and nearly 60% of voters think he should be denied a second term. Our top candidates poll well in head to head matchups, and Trump can be counted on to do something newly self-destructive any day now. The nightmares we have about November 2016 prevent many of us from having a single scintilla of complacency. We allow ourselves no comfort from polls or pundits who say we will very likely win. 

We remain even more guarded because we remember times even outside 2016 that it seems like we pulled defeat out of the jaws of victory. Since we don’t want to do that again, we must maintain rules of engagement for our movement and for our candidates.
  • Watching Our Language---- Elizabeth Warren doesn’t really think that her colleagues who want to modify her Medicare for All proposal are “spineless,” so she shouldn’t say they are. More critically, Julian Castro does not really believe that Joe Biden suffered from short term memory loss in a two-minute period in last Thursday’s debate, so he shouldn’t have made that accusation twice in a half a minute. We need to decide what to do about candidates showing such irresponsible judgement. One attractive option would be to suffer memory loss on why Julian Castro should be provided support. We cannot end up together at the end unless we keep ourselves between the lines as debates continue.
  • Circling Back to What We Have in Common---- The debate exchanges on the differences between Medicare for All and a very robust public option were more helpful and compelling than they have been in past debates. These vivid differences will continue to be sorted out. Three or four candidates underscored that all the Democratic candidates support universal coverage and stressed the stark difference between that approach and Trump’s attempts to dismantle the Affordable Care Act. References such as these are important. Notably, the warrior Bernie Sanders seems not to acknowledge any common cause with the other Democratic candidates. There is a huge difference (which he seems not to recognize) between exhorting, persuading and guiding. It is said by her supporters that Elizabeth Warren has come to appreciate these distinctions. May we all help to make it so!
  • Adding to the Top Tier---- It is not too late to add another name or two at the top. If Andrew Yang’s lottery giveaway proposal disqualified his candidacy and Julian Castro weakened his own chances, that leaves five other debaters who could join Biden, Warren and Sanders in the lead. These are Cory Booker, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar and Beto O’Rourke. These are a strong group of public servants, a couple of whom you wouldn’t object to hanging around for a while. If you feel that way, now is the time to donate. And keep Michael Bennett and Steve Bullock in mind, just in case either finds a way to get some traction. Don’t keep Tom Steyer in mind at all.
  • Ending the Criticism of the Debate Selection Process----There is nothing activists like to do more than get angry with the Democratic National Committee, which has been known to earn that enmity. However, the recent debate shows that we benefited from the DNC process to limit the number of candidates on the stage. Why would the number of donors and performance in respectable polls be seen as an “arbitrary” standard to narrow the field?
  • Trusting the Speaker on Impeachment---- Perhaps what is soon to be discovered in Trump’s tax returns will be new grist. Barring that, Nancy Pelosi is right to slow walk impeachment proceedings in the House, because she is mortally certain that a trial in the Senate would not attract the necessary 67 votes. Thus, she rightly believes that handing Mitch McConnell and his friends a microphone for a couple of months in an election year is as self-defeating a strategy as resisters could devise. Losing in the Senate does not demonstrate courage nor does it advance justice. It is just losing. We all know how to get rid of Trump and we even know the date--- November 3, 2020. Register voters. Fight voter suppression. Persuade independents. Support strong candidates.
We can stay together now, as a way to guarantee being together at the end. In this movement, we can keep from unraveling by being truthful and passionate with each other and never turning on each other with righteousness, eschewing epithets. We can continue to recognize the centrality of our shared purpose. 

Due entirely to Mitch McConnell and the Republicans who hide behind him, legislation is stalled on every front. However, there will be a budget deal, and there will be a vote on background checks for gun owners because Republican Senators up for re-election will insist upon it. McConnell is leaving substance up to Trump, who is in a bind. He wants to please both the NRA and the 80% of Americans who want stronger background checks.

Elsewhere, there is a new furor over a whistleblower filing in the intelligence agencies that should be followed carefully. There is also a new front in the legal battle to get Trump’s tax returns. Meanwhile, with Congress not moving forward, there are still multiple ways to respond to the mean-spiritedness that embodies the Trump presidency. Let’s do these three things:

1) Appeal to General Mattis’ Patriotism
Former Defense Secretary Mattis has a new book “Call Sign Chaos”. In it, he says that he will not criticize a sitting president. But he says this much: “I did as well as I could for as long as I could. When my concrete solutions and strategic advice, especially keeping faithful allies, no longer resonated, it was time to resign, despite the limitless joy I felt alongside our troops in defense of our Constitution.”

In trying to do an honorable thing, General Mattis is doing a dishonorable thing. Our alliances with France, Canada, Germany and Great Britain are an indispensable element in maintaining a fragile world order. Rather than having an obligation to not say what he knows, Mattis has an obligation to sound the alarm about Trump’s siding with Putin against our friends. This is exactly how Constitutions get defended.

Mattis is on a national book tour. Follow this site to see if he is coming to your area. When he comes, show up in the hall or outside, aiming to get him to speak up for our global friends, whose soldiers have shed blood at our behest. Or write a letter to the editor or post on Facebook. Mattis is personally unreachable. The most enterprising can try to send this message through his speaking agent, the Washington Speaker’s Bureau

2) 
Make Sure Pat Toomey Does the Right Thing on Gun Control
Republican Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania is up for re-election in 2022. Not only does he personally believe that stronger background checks are an important part of gun reform, his own re-election depends upon it. That is why he has been the leader among Senate Republicans in trying to find bi-partisan support for closing some of the holes in the easy to evade background check system. His primary tool is an inadequate bill co-sponsored with Democratic West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin. This bill has been in play as Mitch McConnell lets Donald Trump decide what Senate Republicans are going to do.

It’s a great time to check in with Pat Toomey. One way or another, he will be a key player in whatever transpires. Beseech your Pennsylvania friends to get directly involved. Let’s generate as much phone activity as we can to three of Toomey’s offices. Tell them that he needs to do something, now.
     Washington DC- 202 224-4252
     Allentown- 610 4434-1444
     Johnstown- 814 222-5974

3) 
Protect Animals from Trophy Hunters
In individual cases, the Trump administration has waived the ban on importing African lions as trophies even as Donald Trump described such killings as horrific. Write your own member of Congress and make certain she or her has signed onto the bill passed by the House Natural Resources Committee. If we attend to this legislation, we can make certain the ban is absolute. And, sign the Humane Society’s pledge and help guarantee they keep up the pressure. 

We are trying not to get ahead of ourselves. Donald Trump already has proven that being unsuited does not automatically disqualify someone for the presidency. Nonetheless, our efforts are going well. It would be good to remember that the word “optimist” should not be used as a pejorative term by those who hear others describing our impressive progress.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Tuesday, September 3, 2019

#74: Economic Growth Means More Than Comforting the Comfortable

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends. If you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook where you can read and share these messages. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

He has borrowed from future generations to give money to the Americans who already have money. He has told corporations he will ignore the cost of their pollution. He has denied the cataclysmic economic and environmental impact of climate change. He has destabilized trade 
worldwide, destroyed foreign markets for our crops, and treated our friends like enemies. 

The common narrative is that any of Donald Trump's economic "successes" might well fade by November 2020, removing for him might otherwise be an argument for votes. The truth is sharper-even though more Americans are working, for the most part these were not economic successes in the first place.

It has been a far more productive economy for stockholders than it has been for wage earners. Real wages adjusted for inflation have only started to pick up and some metropolitan areas experience labor shortages. The economic growth that we have experienced has been gained through unsustainable practices. It has exacerbated the wealth divide in America

Donald Trump's tax cuts were designed to comfort the comfortable. Reductions in corporate tax rates were sold as a means of stimulating investment in workers, plant and equipment. But a very significant portion of the revenue created has been used for corporate stock buybacks that drive up stock prices. The same tax cut skyrocketed the deficit which will make it more difficult to find stimulus funds if the economy ends up needing a boost.

The tariffs levied have lifted more money from middle-class taxpayer pockets than the tax cuts put there in the first place. This is contrary to Donald Trump's claims (lies) about tariff revenues being a net gain for the Treasury. The in-artfulness of Trump's dealings is based upon his refusal to recognize that Xi Xing Ping needs to walk away from the table showing the Chinese that he got something too. Trump's announcement that we must and will win is geopolitically nonsensical. Decades of work building markets for agricultural products has been jettisoned.

Always scapegoat searching, Trump has selected for attack his own appointee, Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. Powell refuses to use monetary policy (meant to control inflation and underpin job growth) as Trump's secret weapon on trade disputes. Powell is uncertain where Trump is heading, which makes two since Trump is uncertain of where Trump is heading.

There is considerable evidence that Trump propped up markets last week by inventing calls he had received from the Chinese. The things he is willing to do or say are no longer surprising to us. What is surprising is how many of us are willing to just let it pass if Trump's actions are related to the economy.

We can't let pass the implication that the debt increasing, middle-class ignoring, food stamp and health insurance depriving Trump has an argument to make for any steps on the economy. He doesn't have any such argument. That conclusion can be drawn even before we see the results it in the future of missteps he is presently taking.

Instead let's go for an economy where we not only raise the minimum wage but we fully attend to securing living wages that sustain families. Let's go for narrowing the huge wealth disparities that have grown in America. Let's establish a tax code that recognizes the 80% of the population that tax law now treats as an afterthought, if it if gives any thought at all to low-income and middle-income taxpayers.

Let's immediately take two steps to fight for economic justice. Then let's return to the upcoming Senate debate about the awful carnage that has overtaken America.

1) Keeping from Adding Insult to Injury 
Unbelievably a gang of Senate Republicans is seriously proposing that the president issue an executive order to index the capital gains tax to inflation. This would significantly reduce the tax paid on gains on stocks whose price has doubled or tripled since the Great Recession. 

There has been no positive indexing of the minimum wage. Republicans have even opposed increasing the present federal minimum wage from the miniscule $7.25 an hour. Yet there seems to be no shame on lowering the capital gains tax even as recent tax cuts have blown up the deficit. 

It's not clear whether Trump can legally index capital gains by executive order or who would have the legal standing to challenge it. This action would cost the treasury an additional hundred billion dollars realized almost entirely by the wealthiest of Americans. 

At this point the center of the battle against indexing capital gains is Democratic senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio. Call him at 202-224-2315 to tell him this would be an awful step and encourage him to keep working to find Republican allies to oppose any such move. The best means to monitor the insults of the present and future is to follow the work of the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities.

2) 
Advancing the Minimum Wage 
Increasing the minimum wage is only one part all of the agenda for advancing the economic interests of low-income Americans. This is because even at the higher-level imposed by some states the minimum wage in no way represents a living wage.

Still, it's an important step in concert with increasing the Earned Income Tax Credit and broader tax reform. Progress has been made in a score of states so there are two fronts for getting this done. The US Senate needs to take up the minimum wage bill already passed by the house which increases the federal minimum wage from $7.25 to $15 over several years.

At this point the Senate committee on Health Education Labor and Pensions has refused to take it up. Chair Lamar Alexander knows better than that and you can remind him that he knows better than that by calling his office at 202-224-4944. Self-evidently, in the long-term both the federal and state efforts to increase the minimum wage go better in bed as Democrats take over the US Senate and increase and win majorities in state legislatures.

Second, the best guide to which states need intervention from resisters is the National Employment Law Project. You can sign up to get progress reports. If you are so inclined can give them financial support as well.

3) 
Moving Forward on Gun Legislation Now
At long last there is going to be a meaningful debate in the United States centered on gun control. As much as key Republicans would like to have the debate be just about "red flag" laws where people of interest can be overseen, the debate that will be held will go to the much more significant issues of universal background checks and assault rifle bans. 

This is an extraordinary opportunity to do something important to respond to the massacres that have emerged across our country. The NRA and Donald Trump will be doing whatever they can to do as close to nothing as possible. It falls to us to make certain Republican Senators who have shown some interest in gun reform will step forward rather than step backwards. 

As with the calls we made weeks ago these five Republicans Senators must be reached because they are more interested than Trump in responding to the crisis that is before us. Please call as many of them as you can.

Susan Collins of Maine 202-224-2523
Lamar Alexander of Tennessee 202-224-4944
Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania 202-224-4254
Mike Braun of Indiana 202-224-4854
Rob Portman of Ohio 202-224-3353

Reputable polls put us in the best shape that we have been since Donald Trump was elected. It falls to us to keep it that way.  As we know there's only one thing that we need to do--- exhibit relentless, intensive, democracy-serving vigilance and action.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington