Wednesday, January 22, 2020

#83: Select the Person Obsessed With Fixing Things

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Let’s start by choosing and electing someone who has huge dreams but who in the shorter term is obsessed with fixing things. In their first month, this new President would call France, Germany, and Canada and say we are sorry. They would recommit to NATO, and re-sign a Global Climate Accord while demanding more of it. They would join Russian and China back at the table for a new Iran nuclear accord. They would stop writing naïve love letters to Putin and to Kim Jong Un.

This person would be running the show without a shred of venality and with a surprising dose of equanimity. They would partner with Congress to get immigrant kids out of the camps, restore and greatly expand Obamacare, and rewrite one of the worst tax bills in history. They would immediately rescind a score of executive orders that have been trashing the environment.

Regarding this short-term agenda, all of us would say to this new president, “these things first”. We will be thrilled to imagine an America even better than that, but these things first, because they are so critical, because they vanished from us so recently and suddenly, and because we miss them so desperately. Foster your even greater dreams, but don’t let those more distant goals make you stumble as you take your first steps.

This approach is no sacrifice, it is an imperative. We will judge ourselves by our ability to repair the very things that have been broken before our very eyes. We will elect a President who will rely upon a tool kit, and not only a microphone.

It is time to narrow our field. Our pre-conditions have been the same for months now. Nominate someone who can win, conceding that prematurely insisting that someone is unelectable creates a self-fulfilling prophecy. Look at when and where our candidates have won before. Find someone around whom we can close ranks. Make certain the vice president slot creates a ticket that brings us even closer together. Don’t buy into the non-existent huge differences between “liberals” and “progressives”, since the Senate voting records of those bearing these labels are nearly indistinguishable. 

Government has rules and practices (and even a Constitution) that Trump, a “businessman” has never mastered. So no thank you Tom Steyer and Andrew Yang. Your ideas and commitment are clear, but you need more grounding in government itself. Steve Bullock, Michael Bennett, Deval Patrick, you have both the necessary good approaches and the record of service. We have never known how to get you out of the wings and onto the stage.

The Presidency is an incredibly taxing job. Maybe it is not so wise to nominate someone who is as old or is even older than Donald Trump, especially if we are hoping that they serve two nation-restoring terms. So it’s time to elevate a fresh generation of leaders, which already gave us Barack Obama. Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, you will surely find your ways to help this country. Thanks for jumping in, Michael Bloomberg. Your financial support and your ability to challenge Trump as a bigger billionaire are very helpful.

Cory Booker, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg, in no way are you done. One of you may be vice president, and there are other paths. Pete Buttigieg, it is a depressing indication of American cynicism that the most severe criticisms by your detractors are your impeccable answers to our questions.

Elizabeth Warren, you of the scores of new plans, please continue your recent move toward casting these for the country and not just our party. Your intellectual strength and relentlessness are admirable. Within the Senate you will help our new majority forge much of our changing economic and social policy.

Senator Amy Klobuchar, please be our President. Put to use your clear and strong sense of what can be done next, including much of it in an initial one-hundred-day flurry. You already know how to do what you need to do, and you will be able to get and keep us by your side. Your exemplary record on immigration reform, on economic opportunity, on health care reform, and on protecting the rights of women and minorities will help you lift us.

Be President with the same matter-of-factness, attention to your roots and good humor that characterize you. Tell us the truth. As you have already shown you can do, reach out to all independents, and to any legitimate Republicans that are left. Especially on global security issues, reach out even to the other side, however lost in darkness it has become.

We will do everything we can to elect a new president. During the impeachment trial, we will hear a week of evidence that will overwhelmingly demonstrate that Donald Trump is unfit for office. It is fashionable to say that the electorate is locked in on all sides and that impeachment arguments do not move the needle. It is fashionable, but it is not even close to the truth.

With the swing state margins that have become commonplace in American politics, every major event moves the needle. In these states, millions of independents walked away from Trump in 2018 and must not be drawn back to him. Countless other potential voters, including those aged 18-30, are deciding whether to register and vote, which they did in great numbers in 2018 but did not in 2016. The impeachment, advanced under Nancy Pelosi’s leadership, can help those voters decide to help us win.

1) Making Sure We Have Our Facts Straight
It would be nice to avoid disputes among Democratic candidates about false claims in speeches and in political advertising. Unfortunately, in the heat
of the campaign, things can get said that shade the truth. Bernie Sanders has made some claims about Joe Biden's position on Social Security that Politifact has sorted out. Politifact is a great independent source that can help us sort out our positions and our understanding of events throughout this upcoming year. You can connect with them on Facebook, Twitter or receive their RSS feeds. You will be helping take truth off of the scaffold.

2) 
Make Certain the Impeachment Trial Has Witnesses
Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski and Mitt Romney are very likely to vote to call John Bolton as a witness. As has been so often the case, they need one more Republican Senator to join them. This is a situation in which Mitch McConnell is complicit. Three Senators are free to vote their conscience, and any fourth Senator will be excommunicated for doing so.

Tennessee Senator Lamar Alexander is retiring. He grew up under the Tennessee politics of Howard Baker, who was the fair-minded senior Republican serving with Democrat Sam Ervin during the Senate Judiciary Committee’s Watergate hearings. It is time to ask Lamar Alexander to be true to that legacy, and to vote to call John Bolton as a witness. Call him at 202-224-4944.

3) 
Do What You Can to Make Amy Klobuchar President
You can sign up to volunteer for Amy Klobuchar or give them your email so you can hear more. If you are going to make a donation to anyone during this presidential campaign, now is the time to do it.




For those who would like to read an excellent, very well-reasoned and well-researched daily analysis of the challenges we face, go no further than Heather Cox Richardson’s Letters from an American, Across this country, we are all paying attention now, and this year we are bending history.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington

Wednesday, January 8, 2020

#82: Who Could Reign In Trump?

Thank you for continuing to share these messages with your friends. If you are not already on our mailing list, please click here to be added to our list. You can also follow me on Facebook where you can read and share these messages. The more people we can reach, the more we contribute to this growing movement. We share these posts on our blog, A Path Forward to November 3, 2020, every two weeks, which means there will be a total of 100 missives before the Presidential election of 2020, in which our country will select a whole new course.

If you were choosing very carefully, you wouldn’t select a President who will fly into a rage when he is watching television. You wouldn’t choose anyone who would act almost immediately upon that rage, and who is incapable of sorting out why he should or shouldn’t. You wouldn’t want a person who ushers out of the room anyone who disagrees with him, for fear that she or he is closing themselves off from viable options. You wouldn’t entertain the candidacy of an incurious person, or a grudge-nurturer, or anyone whose self-regard monumentally exceeds his skills. 

It’s too late! We ended up with such a person. Each week we are wounded anew. We save a place in the darkest part of our hearts for those elected officials who show allegiance for this president. When Donald Trump does the worst of things, we long for any of a score of Republican Senators to intervene.

These Senators slowed down our country’s support of the Saudi’s war in Yemen, and have insisted we maintain economic sanctions on Russia, however, there is no chance at all that they will meaningfully influence Trump’s hugely dangerous approach to Iran. He didn’t ask what they think because he doesn’t care what they think. The War Powers Act of 1973 gives Senators no path to intervene in any timely way.

Nonetheless, even in the face of Iranian missile attacks, there isn’t going to be a war, because Iran is so inferior militarily to the United States that they will not seek it. Instead, in response to the assassination, Iran will destabilize the Middle East way beyond the levels first generated by Dick Cheney’s made up war in 2003. The 5,000 US troops in Iraq will be reduced or removed, and ISIS will be the number one beneficiary. Iran’s hold on Iraq will grow. The remaining constraints embodied in the 2015 nuclear weapons agreement will vanish.

In Dick Cheney’s war, there were three men (besides George W. Bush) who had the standing to slow down Cheney’s momentum and expose the lies regarding weapons of mass destruction--- John McCain, Tony Blair, and Colin Powell, who got played by Cheney and regrets it more and more with each year. None of the three stepped forward.

Today, there are also just three that could slow Trump down and let us get us all the way to the November elections with the world in a single piece. Not Senators. The sycophantic Mitch McConnell and the surprisingly obsequious Lindsay Graham aren’t close to making the list. Not cabinet officials--- Trump’s support for Mike Pompeo doesn’t stem from him being challenged by his Secretary of State. Who did you say is Secretary of Defense?

First, there is Rupert Murdoch’s son James, who now runs Fox News. Since the plan to assassinate started with Trump watching Fox News’ accounts of protesters at the embassy, it seems fitting that the last word could ultimately fall to Fox. The company is seeking a little distance from Trump. There is no question they are recalibrating, albeit very slowly. Second, there is Benjamin Netanyahu. He needs these conflicts to have certain constraints.

Most importantly, there is Vladimir Putin. Angela Merkel is flying to Moscow on Saturday to discuss these “Middle East tensions” with him. It is in Putin’s self-interest to not let things get further out of hand, all the while reveling in the ineptitude of his White House admirer. Who would have thought the former KGB colonel would become the world’s temporary peacekeeper? It might be seen as a bitter irony that one of his previous interventions put Trump in the presidency. One could conclude that such things should not be permitted.

As Putin, Merkel and others stabilize the situation, we will have an impeachment trial to complete and an election to conduct. The positive outcome of the November election is not inevitable, but we are in an excellent position to help our country take itself back. 

By late summer, we will have settled on our ticket and the impeachment trial will be behind us. We will be well aware of everything we need to do between August and November. At that stage, we will be building upon what worked so well in 2018. We will advance strong candidates; help them in every way we can; make certain they have unprecedented financial support. We will register voters and make certain they vote. We will understand our changing circumstances and adjust to them.

By summer, there will be a lot of election year narratives besides the impeachment trial. Nonetheless, the upcoming actions trying Donald Trump in the Senate will be consequential. Now that public servants like Fiona Hill and Alexander Vindman have done their duty, Mike Pompeo, Mark Esper and Mick Mulvaney will resist doing theirs. Whether or not it is because he has a book coming out, John Bolton has a different story. If subpoenaed, he is willing to testify before the Senate, 

After all that elaborate artifice that the House Republicans built, it turns out Trump froze the aid 90 minutes after the phone calls. The newly released emails are telling. In addition to holding the key on whether Bolton will testify, Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, Mitt Romney(!) and perhaps others will make certain that this new evidence isn’t quashed from the outset.

Trump’s approval ratings remain in the basement. It is not clear that even if he were interested in such strategies that there is a way for him to keep his supporters and simultaneously win votes from independents he lost after displaying himself to be a con man, a misogynist and a thug. More important than disapproval, as many as 52% of voters think he should be impeached and removed. This is from Fox News!

If you were a betting person, you would bet that there will be additional whistleblowers and scandals. Even worse, the bad situations in Iran and North Korea are threatening to unravel further. What happened to Kim’s “beautiful letters” that engendered “love?” Is there clearer evidence that this man is lost in the duties of the presidency? Can you imagine such an exchange between Dwight Eisenhower and Mao Zedong?

Staying on top of this unfolding American tragedy calls us to do at least three things:

1) Fight Voter Suppression in Wisconsin
A Circuit Court judge has ordered the premature and unnecessary purging of 234,000 voters as Wisconsin Republicans continue to do everything they can do suppress the November 2020 turnout. These voters are disproportionately located in the two Democratic strongholds of Madison and Milwaukee.

Wisconsin is one of a dozen or more key states in this election, so attention must be paid now. The Wisconsin Democrat Party intends to connect with all purged voters if the court decision holds. Either way it’s time for us to follow their efforts or give them a boost

2) 
Find another Republican Senator to Demand that the Trial have a Witness
Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins and Mitt Romney are all open to the Senate calling witnesses in the impeachment trial and interested in John Bolton being a witness. Unfortunately, this is yet again a choreographed situation. McConnell may well get unanimous Republican support to pass the rules, but this will presuppose a delay of the question of when and whether to call witnesses. McConnell can only withstand three defections, so these three Senators have “claimed” those positions. It will be far more difficult to be the fourth Senator, who would upend McConnell’s tight hold on the process. It behooves us to look for a candidate, and find one in Martha McSally of Arizona.

After she lost to Democrat Krysten Sinema for Jeff Flake’s vacant seat, McSally was appointed to the seat made vacant by the death of John McCain. In the November 2020 race she is being challenged by astronaut Mark Kelly, who is Gabby Gifford’s husband. This will make her more attentive to pleas for fairness than what otherwise would be the case. Call her Senate office at 202-224-2235 and say that the Senator should want to hear John Bolton’s story. McSally’s email does not automatically reject people from outside Arizona, so you could instead email her by clicking on this page

3) 
Give Amy Klobuchar a Chance
There’s no sin in a resister already making up her or his mind and choosing one of the several Presidential candidates who are engaging us, as long as that candidate will come together at the end if they are unsuccessful. Nonetheless, many of us are still shopping. For those of us in that position it is time to take a fresh and new look at Amy Klobuchar.

Amy has delivered solid debate performances time after time. She has a record of advancing legislation that stands up well in comparison to each and every other Senator who is running. She is witty, smart, committed and she has already shown she can win again and again in a swing state. As she tries to get a good result in Iowa, now is the best time to give her a boost

As Trump tears up any international alliance, treaty or norm that comes to his attention, we could end up feeling powerless. But, we’re not. In our collective hands and actions is the biggest story--- whether we will elect a President of the United States who can restore the integrity and promise of our republic.

David Harrison
Bainbridge Island, Washington